The Moscow’s initiative to transfer the Syrian chemical weapons to international control has influenced the US plans to launch an aggression against Syria in a favorable way. At the same time the diplomatic success will bring only temporary peace for the Middle East because Washington has not ultimately put its inimical plans on the shelf.
On the one hand, the public opinion is strongly against the US plans for intervention, and it is a factor to reckon with. That’s what should be taken into account: a) According to polls, over 70 percent of Americans are against the Obama’s plans to deliver a strike. b) The world public opinion sees the Russia’s initiative as a way out of the dangerous deadlock. It is flabbergasted by US playing with fire in the region called the world’s “powder keg”. Let’s not forget that Ban Ki-Moon, the United Nations General Secretary, made an official statement in support of the Russia’s proposal.
On the other hand, the US still cherishes unrelenting desire to launch an intervention. But it’s a bumpy road with many snags on the way. As it has become known, the August 21 chemical attack in the Damascus suburbs was not perpetrated by Syrian regular army, but rather by its adversary. There are other cases when chemical weapons were used by armed gangs. That’s what the Russian 100 – page report on chemical attackin Khan al-Assal near Aleppo says. The attack took place on March 19 in the northern part of the country. The report was submitted to the United Nations. In May UN investigator Carla Del Pontesaid there were strong suspicions Syrian rebelshad used sarinnerve agent. There are reasons to believe the attacks may be repeated. The provocations pursue the same goal – they give the United States, France and other states of anti-Syria coalition, which possess huge chemical stockpiles of their own, a justification for putting forward demands for further unilateral disarmament of Damascus threatening it with an attack under the pretext of “fighting terrorism.”
But chemical weapons are not the only deterrent Syria has to counter an intervention.
For instance, the Syrian special operations forces are ready to be used on the US soil, the result may be beyond any most far-fetched expectations. According to Syria’s Ministry of Defense, hundreds of Syrian army special operations soldiers are currently located on the territory of the United States. All fighters grouped in units of three to seven people are employed by the Syrian special forces "al-Qassam" and undergone an extensive training. They are equipped to carry out sabotage operations in the United States. The potential targets that can be damaged include railways, power stations, power plants, waterworks, oil and gas terminals, and military objects, mostly air and naval bases. The source said that the Syrian leadership has chosen this strategy based on the experience of the wars in Yugoslavia, Iraq, and Libya, where the aggression was reflected from a defensive position, which doomed these countries to failure. The Syrian special forces have rich experience honing their skills in the wars against Israel, in combat actions taking place in Lebanon and Syria itself. The soldiers don’t have to go to the United States in order to cause great damage. Supported by Iranian special operations teams, they will immensely raise the effectiveness of operations in scale, numbers and economic loss. The forces may strike US interests in Israel, Turkey, Saudi Arabia etc.
Saudi Arabia is one of the most active war-mongers. Not without reason it is concerned over the prospect of Shiite unrest which has become imminent recently. The Shiites make up to 15 percent of the population; they harbor strong pro-Iranian sentiments (plus the support of other Shiites making up the majority of population in Iraq, Bahrain and large Shiite communities in Lebanon). The major part of Saudi Shiites is concentrated in Khasa situated on the Persian Gulf shore, the location of the country’s major oil reservoir. Egypt is also a kind of deterrent. The standoff between the government and the Ankara-supported Islamists is brewing. An intervention against Syria may result in a civil war in Egypt making stop the tankers shipping in the Suez Canal. Going around Africa takes two extra weeks. The Russia Northern Route is the shortest linking the main economic poles of the planet (West Europe, North America and South-East Asia) but it’s not ready yet to cope with the task of this scope.
In case a strike against Syria is delivered, the problems to arise will include the oil prices inexorably going up and the dollar nearing its end as the world reserve currency: in the first half of 2013 Iran, Australia and five out of ten world economic leaders, including China, Japan, India and Russia decided to switch away from the use of dollar for international trade transactions.
Moscow, the largest oil exporter, and Beijing, the world largest oil importer, are ready to remove dollar as oil trading currency at any moment. It poses a major threat for the United States of America. That’s the intention to launch an intervention against Syria looks like an attempt to put off the collapse of US currency. It is not an occasion that the exacerbation of the situation in and around Syria coincided with postponing the debates on the United States default from February to this fall. It’s not democracy in Syria what causes major concern for Washington but rather the debt ceiling, the issue that may turn the United Sates into a “failed state”…
